Happy Thanksgiving from Professional Mortgage Matters!
November 27, 2008Guaranteed Retirement???? By Whom???
November 26, 2008By Brian Short, CMC, CRMS, GMA
There still seems to be much discussion about what should be done to or for the “Big Three” US Auto Makers (affectionately referred to in some circles as “The 3 Little Pigs”) who arrived in Washington, DC earlier this month stepping off their private corporate jets with a tin cup in their hands. My private conversations with friends and family members have reflected some of the uncertainty and complexity of the thoughts and comments being circulated in the media and among our elected politicians who are admittedly “over their heads” on this one! (I told one friend a few weeks ago, “Suit me up and put me in. At least I understand the mortgage industry!” Not a bad place to start for those who are trying to figure out this current mess!)
Many of the comments I have been hearing vacilate between one or two of the following positions:
“They’re too big to let fail! Nearly 25% of all jobs in the US are in some way related to the US auto industry!”
“Let them go under! The unionized US auto worker is costing almost twice as much at those who work for Japanese, German or Korean auto companies. This is the only way to bring the UAW back to the negotiating table to restructure and reorganize.”
“The US government made this mess by over-regulating our auto industry when the foreign companies could continue to use their standard practices and make better cars, cheaper.” They are blaming the increased government regulation for the collapse of the US auto industry as many of us have suggested when looking at the current condition of the US mortgage industry. (This seems like a reoccurring theme.)
The comment I overheard recently which really caught my attention was one where she said, “But what about those retired UAW workers who were PROMISED their retirement? If we let the US auto companies fail all of those retired folks will lose their retirement!”
They were “PROMISED” retirement pay? Someone guaranteed them a certain level of pay during the rest of their days on this earth, just because they put in their “30 years”? This guarantee was made with no respect as to the condition or continued viability of a company which has not yet successfully made it into the 21st Century in terms of what the consumers are demanding and what current levels of domestic fuel types can propel?
Who made these promises? What gave them the right to do so? They are still cranking out under preforming, overpriced, inefficient machines causing us to remain attached at the breasts of foreign governments lactating their crude oil and holding us hostage to their tyrant policies directed at crippling our government, the balance of trade and our standard of living.
They “PROMISED” them retirement? What was guaranteed? What is it that my buddy with Edward Jones always says?…..” Past Performance does not guarantee future results.” Whose retirement is guaranteed? My parents have surely seen their retirement account balance dwindle over the past several months – The Dow-Jones has fallen16% since the Presidential election! They will likely never see their accounts recover fully to what they were prior to this most recent downturn. My retirement is not guaranteed – assuming I EVER retire!
Retirement benefits can never be ethically “guaranteed” to anyone! Just as your financial planner is
required to say – your money will only last as long as the companies or governments in which you have bought an interest by securing stocks or bonds – or funds made up of those stocks or bonds – successfully operate. If they fail, your interest (stock, bond or fund) will also fail. That’s life in the REAL WORLD!
Why should the American taxpayer be assumed to be on the hook for unethical promises or guarantees made by those doling out the UAW retirement funds when they, most likely, contributed to the failure of the US auto companies and their employee’s retirement funds? Who is going to bail me out if my retirement fund fails? Or my parents if their retirement fund fails? Do they deserve “full retirement” even though their companies where they they had an interest performed poorly or possibly failed? Of course not!
Retirement is NOT GUARANTEED! Neither is equity in ones home. We’ve certainly seen that lie ruin a few million people this year! Our founding fathers wrote that we were guaranteed “life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness” because those “inalienable rights were endowed by our Creator.” Some have argued that this list of “inalienable rights” should be expanded to “include freedom of speech and expression, freedom of religion and conscience, freedom of assembly, and the right to equal protection before the law.”
Those who have been persuaded to expand this list even farther to include: minimum mage, government health care, guaranteed retirement, home ownership, never-decreasing home equity, a job you love, a spouse who always loves you, kids who never disobey, and a boss who always puts the care of his employees ahead his own bottom-line will surely bring this country and our free-market economy to its knees.
Life is full of risk. Some lose and some win – even on a level playing field. What we’ve been rightly
promised is the opportunity to get back up, dust off our knees and start running AGAIN! Being pushed down once, twice or hundreds of times doesn’t mean that we’ve lost. We lose only if we remain on our butts and never get back up.
You mean we can keep running? Now, that’s a pretty sweet guarantee!
Raising the Bar for All Mortgage Professionals
November 18, 2008
Brian Short meeting with TDFI Commissioner Greg Gonzales in Nashville. I have participated in meetings with Tennessee Department of Financial Institutions Commissioner Greg Gonzales off and on for nearly 6 years. My leadership positions within the the Tennessee Association of Mortgage Brokers (www.TNAMB.org) have afforded me the responsibility and opportunity to receive an open door on many occasions in Nashville and Washington, DC with regulators and legislators who have influence over our industry. Each time I have been with the Tennessee Commissioner my consistent call has been for the need to increase the level of professionalism among those in our industry by requiring licensing, entry-level testing, background checks and continuing education. It has been my firm resolve that this kind of legislation and increased regulation would be good for all Tennesseans. I have been in favor of this kind of professionalism for all of my industry peers long before Rep Barney Frank and Sen Chris Dodd in Washington, DC ever got on this most recent - "shut down the predatory lenders" band wagon. Those of us in the mortgage industry have known that there were scoundrels among us. We knew that many who were originating mortgages really knew very little about the industry and even less about the harm that "short-sighted" loan programs could bring to a borrower's family, neighborhood or community. We knew that "interest-only", "no-doc" and "negative amortization" loans may have helped a desperate/greedy builder or Realtor sell a house, but in reality, those loans, very seldom were the best solution for any borrower who was stretching his or her monthly cash flow simply to buy more house than they could afford. In many cases, those who were leading the band wagon of "creative", "innovative" or "exotic" loan programs were simply pushing our industry toward risky loans which were not a sound or long-term lending solution for a unprepared borrower's housing dilemma. It has been my rallying cry for the past 6 years that the girl who cuts my hair for $12 every six-weeks undergoes more testing, licensing and continuing education than those in the mortgage profession in our state who are responsible for arranging the financing for the largest single lifetime purchase resulting in the greatest amount of debt for over nearly one-half of the remaining years yet to be lived by any first-time home buyer. Every other professional involved in the Real Estate transaction is licensed, tested and required to take continuing education - Appraiser, Home Inspector, Realtor, Insurance Agent, Home Improvement Contractor, and Title Attorney - every one, that is, except the mortgage professional. We are professionals whose work and expertise will have the longest-lasting effect on the home buyer - for better or worse! And yet, until 2009, no licensing, testing, background checks, fingerprints or education was ever required by the state of Tennessee!Last week I met, again, with Commissioner Gonzales and about 20 other mortgage professionals as we listened to him and others explain how laws that we had helped them pass earlier this year were going to result in new background checks, fingerprinting, entry-level education and testing being required for all mortgage professionals in the state of Tennessee beginning in 2009! These new laws will, undoubtedly, weed out some of those who have been "hiding" in our industry and have damaged the reputation of a very noble and difficult profession. I contend that the process of thinning out our ranks because of these "barriers to entry" into the mortgage profession will be good for those of who remain and especially good for Tennesseans who will know with confidence that the originator working with them will now have had to complete a background check, taken over 20 hours or initial classes and passed a test covering a set of basic information about the process of originating and closing a mortgage loan. All Tennesseans will be assured that their mortgage professionals will be keeping up on the changes in the state and federal laws and be reminded or what are ethical and unethical business practices because they will continue to take eight hours of additional classes EACH YEAR to keep their license current. This is great news for all Tennesseans!Brian Short meeting with a member of the US Senate Banking Committee, Tennessee Senator Bob Corker in Washington, DC earlier this year.
The new laws will also require that any mortgage professional working in any state across the country will be required to register in a National Mortgage Licensing System (NMLS) database to prevent a law breaking loan originator from simply moving across state lines to keep from being found-out and shut down as he or she cheats others, gets caught and then hopes to slip away to set-up these illegal practices in another part of the country without being found out.
Most of these new laws were being proposed and debated around the country long before our recent financial crisis and I’m not certain that any of these laws would have prevented the financial melt-down we have experienced over the past 2 years. The “exotic” mortgage loans which have proved to be disastrously risky for many who have now experienced foreclosure were not the “brain child” of mortgage originators. These programs came from the imiginations those sitting in the back offices of New York investment houses who were looking for creative ways to sell more mortgages to borrowers who were not qualified to buy home under the original guidelines.
Did government agencies and politicians pressure these investment houses and banks to offer these loans to give the appearance that certain socio-economic groups within our society were making headway or that lenders were not “discriminating” against minority groups or protected classes across the country? I guess the “investigation” to be launched by many of those same politicians might actually discover some truth but it is highly unlikely that the real fault will be publicized for the sake of preserving the political future of those doing the “investigation” in the coming months.
The good news, however, in Tennessee, is that all mortgage professionals will now be held to a higher standard in the coming months and years. Each of these standards, this author has proudly far surpassed by aquiring and maintaining the nation’s highest level of certification in the mortgage industry for the past seven years. Many Tennesseans have already experienced the benefits of working with a highly qualified and ethical mortgage professional who has taken (and taught) the classes, passed the tests and remains on the cutting edge of what is happening in the mortgage industry. It has been my pleasure to work for those borrowers who desire and deserve that caliber of mortgage professional.
The author, Brian Short, is the nation’s only thrice certified mortgage professional. (Certified Mortgage Consultant, Certified Residential Mortgage Specialist, General Mortgage Associate)
Rates for 30-year mortgages fall for second week in a row
November 14, 2008Analysts attributed the back-to-back decreases to financial markets growing more confident that the Federal Reserve will cut rates again at its final meeting of the year in December in an effort to combat a severe slowdown many economists fear could deepen into a prolonged recession.
“Long-term mortgage rates fell slightly this week as signs the overall economy is weakening brought interest rates down market-wide,” said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac.
Thirty-year mortgage rates hit a high for the year of 6.63 percent in late July and then dropped to a seven-month low of 5.78 percent for the week ending Sept. 18.
Divorce the House, too?!
November 12, 2008
Earlier this week I spoke to a prospective borrower who wanted to refinance his house after an unusually long and drawn-out divorce which was finalized in July of this year. He kept the house and she was awarded $25,000 in cash from the “equity” in the house which, I was told, appraised at more than $920,000 one year ago! He “only” owed about $830,000 on his house, so “on paper” this looked like a pretty “fair” arrangement.
The only problem with this “$25K-worth-of-equity-to-the-ex” scenario was that his house is now only reported to be worth about $780,000 on an online home valuation website, or about $50K less than what they collectively owe this house with 5 bathrooms which they bought 7 years ago for only $600,000. His quandary was only further complicated by the fact that he has had a couple of recent business failures and had only just started another new business 3-4 months ago in a very fickle industry. No wife, no income, no business and a house that is pulling him under financially – that he is stuck with! This sounds like another country music song in the making! Hold on….. I’ve got it! “My Home is a Man-Wrecker!” (You heard it here first!)
Last month I attended a legislative work-session in Nashville with a couple of key state legislators
and leaders from the housing industry (mortgage brokers, mortgage bankers, home inspectors, appraisers, and Realtors) to meet with an Obama-Harvard-Law-School-classmate-yearbook-toting-attorney-turned-Realtor-from-Illinois who was asking for feedback from several of us in the state regarding this very dilemna – couples (especially women, I assume) being wrecked by their houses after their divorce was finalized. (Yes! She REALLY carried in her yearbook and she was on the same page as the new Prez!)
We were told that too many “newly-single, fresh-starts” tried to hold on to a house which was beyond their means and were emotionally unable to swallow the idea of ditching the “loser” and also having to move, at the same time. The desire to keep the kids in the same school, the dog in the same yard and the satellite dish on the same roof tended to outweigh the conventional wisdom that, in most cases, one less income (even with some child support coming in) can not usually keep up with the same sized house payment. We heard that the problem is that the remaining spouse is usually given 2-3 years to refinance or sell the house and maybe split some equity or to hand over the 401K to the departing spouse in trade for the equity to be realized by the remaining spouse at some time in the future. (Sounds like a great deal, huh?!)
Whoa! How ’bout that for a series of gut-wrenching assumptions in world which has turned topsy-turvey during the last 2 1/2 years! House appreciation, job security, stock market stability, and credit profile integrity. All of these can be uncontrollable variables which will either make it possible or impossible to ever get the departing spouse off of the mortgage – regardless of whether he or she “quit claims” (takes their name off of the house title work) their ownership interest to the remaining spouse. This is a formula for certain financial ruin. Why was it when a young couple stood before “God and in-laws” and promised
“til death do us part” that we thought they meant each other rather than the half-million-dollar house they think they should hold on to even when the judge orders them to split it all and move on. (Surely, he didn’t REALLY mean to get rid of the house!)
The Obama classmate was advocating new Tennessee laws to require divorcing couples to get “free” mortgage approvals, home inspections, appraisals, and title searches to protect the remaining spouse from future calamity because of unexpected deterioration of the house, liens against title, over inflated assumptions of value and the inability to qualify for a mortgage – any of which would ruin the hope of making the decision to keep the house a good one. (That 401K or IRA is sounding better and better, even in this market!)
We didn’t all agree about which law would be best or even if new laws were necessary at this point. We all agreed that this was a big risk and all that parties needed to be informed of the dangers of keeping a house after a divorce. We just didn’t agree about what could be done and how much legislation should be piled on an already very litigious process where attorneys and judges are already deeply involved in the personal “affairs” (no pun intended!) of two disappointed adults who thought they could beat the odds and make it through the long haul - with their combined accumulated wealth intact to the end.
It seems to me that couples should usually get rid of the house – especially if there is still a mortgage on the property. Cleaning up that kind of mess is never as easy as one might think and could often take longer than most second marriages last! However, in this period of declining home values, limited credit options and an unstable employment market – buy and selling houses has almost come to a stand-still in some markets. This will cause housing markets to be flooded with inventory and homes to stay on the market longer and longer – bringing down the sales prices of homes which “must sell” to make way for a final divorce decree and marital dissolution agreement. Years of accumulated equity in the family home may be sacrificed and never regained if a home is sold – no matter what. This causes the houses in the surrounding neighborhood to also depreciate in value and should remind all readers that a marriage failure does really hurt the WHOLE community in MANY ways.
In my 10 years of working with home buyers from all walks of life I seldom see one who comes out any better after a divorce. The truth is – we’re all a bunch of rascals and we all blow it, from time to time. Maybe this slow-down in the housing market will give some angry couples the opportunity to “cool down” and think through the consequences of throwing a marriage away while they wait for their house to sell. Maybe they’ll realize that for the sake of their kids, their parents, and their own integrity that they promised “for better or for worse, for richer, for poorer, in sickness and in health” – not to the house but that one on the other side of their “sleep number” mattress.
Bailing out the Auto Industry? I hear Starbucks is having trouble!
November 11, 2008
There seems to be a rush to bail out, yet, another industry. Banks, Insurance companies, Fannie and Freddie and now, the “Big Three” auto makers. How can this be “good” for our country and economy?
The mortgage industry applauded the bailout of the GSE’s (government sponsored enterprises) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. They were already quasi-government agencies with directors and CEOs appointed by Congress (for better or worse!). Unlike the insurance industry, no other company - government run or private - does what they do. Unlike the auto industry, no other company – domestic or foreign - keeps our banks fluid and the housing market flowing. Without Fannie and Freddie the wholesale banks, which buy the mortgages originated by mortgage brokers, would have no more money to fund the new loans. Fannie and Freddie were put in place by the federal government to keep the market fluid.
The Federal Government determined, over fifty years ago, that fluidity in the housing market was the key to keeping Americans buying their homes. This strategy has worked for our country for the past several decades and has given this generation unprecedented opportunity to own a house (or two) when our grandparents seldom owned property and certainly did not buy without a 25%-30% down-payment.
Fannie and Freddie (whether there should still be two of them is a topic for another day!) have played a key role in the “ownership society” announced by President Bush nearly 8 years ago prior to this recent unprecedented growth in home ownership among all Americans – including minorities, women and young people. No one else has done or could do for our economy what Fannie and Freddie have done in giving Americans ownership, equity, property and a vested interested in a community.
So, many are now saying, “let’s take all hurting industries to the Feds and let them bail them out, too!” Insurance companies (AIG is back for a SECOND round?!?), Wall Street Banks, the Auto Industry…. Why stop there? Circuit City just announced the closing of 155 stores and that they will ask for Chapter 11 protection from their creditors as they reorganize and attempt to restructure their debt. We’re losing our Circuit City (only 4 months old!) in the city where I live.
Other retail chains are hurting, as well. Starbucks was in the news earlier this week for posting a worse than expected earnings report. Starbucks recently forced the closing of a Saxby’s coffee shop in our
humble city when they built theirs one block away from the newly finished Saxby’s. Is the over-priced coffee industry hurting and should the Feds step in a bail out the Grande’s, Latte’s and Espresso’s of the world because many teen-aged multi-pierced, messy-haired servers and “Espresso-Masters” will be displaced? I tend to believe that, as John McCain took a beating for saying, the fundamentals of the US economy will work themselves out – in the insurance industry, the banking industry, the auto industry and, need I say, the gourmet coffee industry. We must let the free market do its work and not let the Feds try to convince us that they know how to run a business and to micro manage these selected industries and our economy.
Is the mortgage industry really that different? YES. When it comes to competition and product availability, the secondary market of the mortgage industry is very different. Fannie and Freddie play a role that no other private or foreign company or agency play and that is why it is not inconsistent to support the limited propping up of Fannie and Freddie (already quasi-government agencies) and be opposed to the Federal government picking and choosing which private company or industry to bail out. Unions have made the US auto industry what they are today – unresponsive to market changes, overpriced, less efficient, dependent on foreign fuel, and not environmentally friendly. The US auto industry must change at their core or they deserve to fade into the history books along with their union-thug bed-fellows.

Posted by Brian Short 








